Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 17:15
13.3028.3%
X2.9631.5%
22.3240.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Castellon
LWWLWLLWWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Oviedo
DWLDDLDDDD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
10%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.60
1.20
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.20
Against
4.60
9.20
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.40
Total goals
1.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Castellon attack

1.40goals per match
Oviedo conceded0.80
Matchup

Oviedo attack

0.60goals per match
Castellon conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.60
9.20
Match total
8.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.30
Match total
5.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
26.40
Match total
29.50

Shots

8.90N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
2.90
On target
2.60
16%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.3%37.3%+9.0 pp
Draw31.5%23.7%-7.8 pp
Away40.2%39.0%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.554.2%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS39.0%

Historical average

1.001.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-022.0%
0-116.9%
2-210.2%
1-16.8%
2-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.054.47
Average total8.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.542.4%
Over 9.530.5%
Over 10.523.7%
Over 11.516.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.6%28.3%–67.6% CI
Draw FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Away FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals23.8%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away38.1%