Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-04-02 · 20:00
12.3739.5%
X3.1429.8%
23.0530.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Almeria
LWWWDWWWDD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Vallecano
DWLDWWDLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.80
Against
3.50
8.90
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.90
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Almeria attack

2.00goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.00
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.40goals per match
Almeria conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.80
Corners against
3.50
8.90
Match total
7.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.70
Match total
4.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
28.50
Match total
32.20

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
5.80
On target
4.00
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches307
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.5%37.5%-2.0 pp
Draw29.8%31.3%+1.5 pp
Away30.7%31.3%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

1.271.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.6%
1-011.1%
0-110.1%
2-19.4%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.024.83
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=307.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches113
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.0%16.2%–31.6% CI
Draw FT42.5%33.8%–51.7% CI
Away FT34.5%26.4%–43.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.9%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals15.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.7%
Away60.2%