Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-03-26 · 18:00
12.0445.9%
X2.8033.5%
24.5520.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Gijon
DWDWDWDWDW
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Alcorcon
WDDDLDLWLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
0.50
Conceded
0.90
20%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.50
1H goals
0.40
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.40
Against
3.40
7.60
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
0.50
Goals conceded
0.90
1.70
Total goals
1.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sp Gijon attack

1.20goals per match
Alcorcon conceded0.90
Matchup

Alcorcon attack

0.70goals per match
Sp Gijon conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.20
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.40
Corners against
3.40
7.60
Match total
8.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.60
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
27.30
Match total
27.90

Shots

9.50N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.80
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%39.3%-6.7 pp
Draw33.5%25.0%-8.5 pp
Away20.6%35.7%+15.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.550.0%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.140.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-125.0%
3-114.3%
1-014.3%
1-110.7%
0-010.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.713.86
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away58.3%