Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 17:15
12.1842.8%
X2.9831.3%
23.6025.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lugo
WWDDWDWDDD
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Castellon
LLLDLDLLLD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.60
0.30
Conceded
1.90
0%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.30
0.60
2H goals
1.20
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
2.40N=10
For
4.80N=10
6.60
Against
4.40
9.00
Total
9.20
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.60
0.30
Goals conceded
1.90
1.10
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lugo attack
0.80goals per matchCastellon conceded1.90Matchup
Castellon attack
0.60goals per matchLugo conceded0.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.10
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.40N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
6.60
Corners against
4.40
9.00
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.50
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
26.40
Match total
29.10
Shots
8.00N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
2.40
On target
2.60
10%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches163
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.8%38.0%-4.8 pp
Draw31.3%36.8%+5.5 pp
Away25.9%25.2%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.512.9%
BTTS47.2%
Historical average
1.21–0.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.6%
0-015.3%
2-010.4%
2-19.2%
0-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.07–3.93
Average total9.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=163.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.552.1%
Over 9.542.3%
Over 10.528.2%
Over 11.522.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches70
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.7%16.9%–37.0% CI
Draw FT54.3%42.7%–65.4% CI
Away FT20.0%12.3%–30.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals12.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.1%
Away41.4%