Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-03-14 · 13:00
13.0330.8%
X2.7334.2%
22.6735.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Logrones
LWWWLLWDLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Malaga
LWDWWLDWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.30
Against
3.20
7.70
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
2.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Logrones attack

0.90goals per match
Malaga conceded1.10
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.00goals per match
Logrones conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.20
7.70
Match total
7.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.40
Match total
5.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.90N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
30.60
Match total
31.00

Shots

8.80N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
2.10
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.8%34.4%+3.6 pp
Draw34.2%34.4%+0.2 pp
Away35.0%31.3%-3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.531.3%
Over 3.59.4%
BTTS31.3%

Historical average

0.880.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-021.9%
1-012.5%
0-212.5%
2-19.4%
2-09.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.974.63
Average total8.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.543.8%
Over 9.537.5%
Over 10.528.1%
Over 11.518.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

0.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal41.7%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home8.3%
Away33.3%