Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 15:00
12.8832.4%
X2.8233.1%
22.7034.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ponferradina
WLDWWDWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Sp Gijon
LWLDLLDLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.50
Against
4.30
8.20
Total
8.40
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.00
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ponferradina attack
1.20goals per matchSp Gijon conceded1.00Matchup
Sp Gijon attack
0.90goals per matchPonferradina conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.30
8.20
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.90
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
27.20
Match total
25.80
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.40
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.4%26.8%-5.6 pp
Draw33.1%40.2%+7.2 pp
Away34.5%32.9%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.529.3%
Over 3.512.2%
BTTS45.1%
Historical average
0.96–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-120.7%
0-113.4%
0-013.4%
2-011.0%
1-211.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.11–4.59
Average total8.70
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.552.4%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.528.0%
Over 11.520.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%11.1%–36.3% CI
Draw FT44.7%30.1%–60.3% CI
Away FT34.2%21.2%–50.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals7.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.1%
Away50.0%