Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 13:00
12.1443.5%
X2.8932.2%
23.8524.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Malaga
DLLDLDDLLW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Sabadell
DWLLWWDDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.60
1.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
2.70
Against
4.80
7.40
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Malaga attack
0.90goals per matchSabadell conceded0.90Matchup
Sabadell attack
1.10goals per matchMalaga conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
2.70
Corners against
4.80
7.40
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.60
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
29.20
Match total
28.10
Shots
8.90N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
2.30
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.5%41.4%-2.1 pp
Draw32.2%38.6%+6.3 pp
Away24.2%20.0%-4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.515.7%
BTTS51.4%
Historical average
1.29–0.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-121.4%
0-011.4%
1-011.4%
2-110.0%
0-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.76–3.96
Average total8.71
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.547.1%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.524.3%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.7%9.8%–38.4% CI
Draw FT65.5%47.3%–80.1% CI
Away FT13.8%5.5%–30.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals48.3%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.6%
Away51.7%