Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 17:15
11.6058.4%
X3.5026.7%
26.2415.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leganes
WWWWWLWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Castellon
LLLLDLDLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.70
0.60
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.30
Against
4.20
7.30
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.70
0.60
Goals conceded
2.10
2.20
Total goals
2.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Leganes attack

1.60goals per match
Castellon conceded2.10
Matchup

Castellon attack

0.70goals per match
Leganes conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.20
7.30
Match total
9.20
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
29.50
Match total
27.40

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
3.90
On target
2.70
16%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.4%42.1%-16.3 pp
Draw26.7%21.1%-5.6 pp
Away15.0%36.8%+21.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

1.371.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
3-010.5%
0-110.5%
2-310.5%
2-110.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.842.58
Average total8.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.547.4%
Over 9.531.6%
Over 10.515.8%
Over 11.510.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away35.7%