Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 19:30
12.6335.5%
X2.8333.0%
22.9631.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Castellon
LLWLWWLWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Las Palmas
LDDLDDLWLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.50
Against
3.20
9.20
Total
6.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.00
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Castellon attack
1.00goals per matchLas Palmas conceded1.60Matchup
Las Palmas attack
0.60goals per matchCastellon conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
3.20
9.20
Match total
6.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.40
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
28.00
Match total
33.80
Shots
9.40N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
2.40
On target
2.40
11%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches132
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.5%32.6%-2.9 pp
Draw33.0%39.4%+6.4 pp
Away31.5%28.0%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.512.1%
BTTS54.5%
Historical average
1.09–1.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-125.0%
1-012.1%
0-011.4%
1-29.8%
0-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.82–4.18
Average total9.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=132.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.0%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.520.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%19.9%–44.3% CI
Draw FT50.0%36.9%–63.1% CI
Away FT19.2%10.8%–31.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals7.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.8%
Away44.2%