Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-02-21 · 19:30
12.1343.7%
X2.9331.8%
23.8124.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lugo
LWWWDDWDWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Logrones
WWWLLLDLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.60
0.30
Conceded
1.30
10%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.50
1H goals
0.90
0.80
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
2.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.10
Against
6.00
8.90
Total
8.60
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.60
0.30
Goals conceded
1.30
1.30
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lugo attack
1.00goals per matchLogrones conceded1.30Matchup
Logrones attack
0.60goals per matchLugo conceded0.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.00
8.90
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.90
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
28.60
Match total
31.70
Shots
7.40N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
2.80
On target
2.20
14%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%40.5%-3.2 pp
Draw31.8%32.4%+0.6 pp
Away24.5%27.0%+2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS45.9%
Historical average
1.30–0.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-013.5%
1-113.5%
1-013.5%
0-110.8%
2-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.05–3.73
Average total8.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.551.4%
Over 9.543.2%
Over 10.532.4%
Over 11.518.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Draw FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals7.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away35.7%