Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-02-15 · 20:00
12.0345.9%
X2.8832.4%
24.2921.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Oviedo
WDLWDLDWDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Lugo
WWDLLDDLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.30
Against
5.60
8.40
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Oviedo attack

1.60goals per match
Lugo conceded1.30
Matchup

Lugo attack

1.10goals per match
Oviedo conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.60
8.40
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.70
Match total
4.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
26.40
Match total
25.80

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.50
On target
3.90
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%55.6%+9.6 pp
Draw32.4%16.7%-15.7 pp
Away21.7%27.8%+6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.550.0%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.511.1%
BTTS33.3%

Historical average

1.170.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-027.8%
1-211.1%
3-111.1%
0-111.1%
0-011.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.504.33
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.527.8%
Over 11.516.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Draw FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Away FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals22.2%
3+ goals5.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away38.9%