Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-02-15 · 18:00
13.3128.1%
X2.8832.3%
22.3539.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Castellon
LLLWLWWLWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Fuenlabrada
DLLWDWLWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.30
Against
4.20
8.60
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
1.80
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Castellon attack

0.90goals per match
Fuenlabrada conceded1.40
Matchup

Fuenlabrada attack

1.20goals per match
Castellon conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.20
8.60
Match total
7.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.10
Match total
6.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
27.70
Match total
32.60

Shots

9.00N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
2.20
On target
4.10
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.1%30.0%+1.9 pp
Draw32.3%25.0%-7.3 pp
Away39.6%45.0%+5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS37.5%

Historical average

0.931.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.5%
1-015.0%
0-212.5%
0-010.0%
2-210.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.674.53
Average total8.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.537.5%
Over 9.527.5%
Over 10.515.0%
Over 11.510.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals26.7%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away46.7%