Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 20:00
11.9946.7%
X2.9931.1%
24.1922.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Gijon
DWWDWDWDWD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Malaga
LWLWDWWLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
0.60
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.00
Against
3.70
7.30
Total
6.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
1.80
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sp Gijon attack

1.20goals per match
Malaga conceded1.40
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.20goals per match
Sp Gijon conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.70
7.30
Match total
6.70
20%2/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.60
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
27.60
Match total
31.40

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
4.60
On target
2.80
10%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.7%39.5%-7.2 pp
Draw31.1%20.9%-10.2 pp
Away22.2%39.5%+17.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.553.5%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.516.3%
BTTS32.6%

Historical average

1.120.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.6%
1-016.3%
0-011.6%
1-29.3%
1-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.843.79
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.530.2%
Over 11.523.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

0.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals11.1%
3+ goals5.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away27.8%