Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 15:00
11.8251.1%
X3.4127.3%
24.3021.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Almeria
WDWWLWWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Las Palmas
DLDDLDDLWL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.50
0.70
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.20
Against
3.40
10.40
Total
6.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Almeria attack
1.90goals per matchLas Palmas conceded1.30Matchup
Las Palmas attack
0.50goals per matchAlmeria conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.40
10.40
Match total
6.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
29.30
Match total
33.40
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.50
On target
2.30
16%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.1%48.6%-2.5 pp
Draw27.3%27.0%-0.2 pp
Away21.6%24.3%+2.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS45.9%
Historical average
1.35–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.9%
2-110.8%
0-010.8%
2-09.5%
1-19.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.22–3.62
Average total8.84
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.4%
Over 9.537.8%
Over 10.525.7%
Over 11.514.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Draw FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI
Away FT17.4%7.0%–37.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.2%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals13.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.2%
Away34.8%