Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-02-12 · 20:00
12.9531.7%
X2.8033.4%
22.6735.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sabadell
WLLWLLDDDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Zaragoza
LLLLLLLDLW
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.40
1.10
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.40
1.10
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.20
Against
5.70
8.80
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sabadell attack
1.00goals per matchZaragoza conceded1.20Matchup
Zaragoza attack
0.40goals per matchSabadell conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.70
8.80
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
6.40
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.50N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
30.60
Match total
25.50
Shots
9.40N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.20
On target
2.40
11%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.7%43.2%+11.5 pp
Draw33.4%34.1%+0.7 pp
Away35.0%22.7%-12.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.515.9%
BTTS47.7%
Historical average
1.27–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-015.9%
1-013.6%
2-111.4%
1-211.4%
1-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.41–4.64
Average total9.05
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.534.1%
Over 11.520.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Draw FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Away FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI
Remaining goals
0.94
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal61.1%
2+ goals22.2%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away27.8%