Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-02-08 · 20:00
14.5320.6%
X2.8832.4%
21.9847.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lugo
LLWWWDDWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Espanol
WLDWDLWWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.10
0.40
Conceded
0.70
10%
Over 2.5
30%
10%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.60
1H goals
0.70
0.70
2H goals
1.10
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.20N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.70
Against
4.10
8.90
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
0.40
Goals conceded
0.70
1.30
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lugo attack
0.90goals per matchEspanol conceded0.70Matchup
Espanol attack
1.10goals per matchLugo conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.10
8.90
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.50
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
29.70
Match total
27.20
Shots
7.40N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
2.60
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.6%16.7%-3.9 pp
Draw32.4%33.3%+1.0 pp
Away47.1%50.0%+2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS33.3%
Historical average
0.67–1.56
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-122.2%
0-116.7%
0-316.7%
0-211.1%
3-15.6%
Comparable corner averages
3.61–3.72
Average total7.33
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.527.8%
Over 9.522.2%
Over 10.511.1%
Over 11.55.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT56.5%36.8%–74.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.13
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.6%
2+ goals26.1%
3+ goals4.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home26.1%
Away69.6%