Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-02-08 · 20:00
14.5320.6%
X2.8832.4%
21.9847.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lugo
LLWWWDDWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Espanol
WLDWDLWWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
0.40
Conceded
0.70
10%
Over 2.5
30%
10%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.70
0.70
2H goals
1.10
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.70
Against
4.10
8.90
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
0.40
Goals conceded
0.70
1.30
Total goals
1.80
40%4/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
10%1/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.90goals per match
Espanol conceded0.70
Matchup

Espanol attack

1.10goals per match
Lugo conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.10
8.90
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.50
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
29.70
Match total
27.20

Shots

7.40N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
2.60
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.6%16.7%-3.9 pp
Draw32.4%33.3%+1.0 pp
Away47.1%50.0%+2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS33.3%

Historical average

0.671.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.2%
0-116.7%
0-316.7%
0-211.1%
3-15.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.613.72
Average total7.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.527.8%
Over 9.522.2%
Over 10.511.1%
Over 11.55.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT56.5%36.8%–74.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.6%
2+ goals26.1%
3+ goals4.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.1%
Away69.6%