Segunda Division · 2020/21
2021-02-07 · 17:15
13.1429.7%
X2.8832.4%
22.4737.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Castellon
WLLLWLWWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Mirandes
WLDLLWLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
20%
20%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
0.70
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.90
Against
4.20
9.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
1.90
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
20%2/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Castellon attack

1.10goals per match
Mirandes conceded0.90
Matchup

Mirandes attack

1.00goals per match
Castellon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.20
9.10
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.30
Match total
3.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
27.90
Match total
29.90

Shots

8.80N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
2.40
On target
4.00
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.7%21.1%-8.7 pp
Draw32.4%26.3%-6.1 pp
Away37.8%52.6%+14.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.555.3%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS34.2%

Historical average

0.821.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.4%
0-015.8%
0-215.8%
1-210.5%
1-010.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.554.50
Average total9.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.544.7%
Over 10.531.6%
Over 11.521.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.7%
Away46.7%