Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-20 · 20:00
12.1144.2%
X3.2828.4%
23.4127.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Zaragoza
WWWDWLLLLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Ponferradina
LLDLLDWLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.50
1.50
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.60
Against
4.20
8.40
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Zaragoza attack
1.30goals per matchPonferradina conceded1.50Matchup
Ponferradina attack
0.50goals per matchZaragoza conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.20
8.40
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.70
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
18.10N=10
28.00
Match total
33.10
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
4.20
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches171
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%43.3%-0.9 pp
Draw28.4%27.5%-1.0 pp
Away27.4%29.2%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.525.1%
BTTS58.5%
Historical average
1.46–1.27
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.0%
2-111.1%
1-09.4%
1-28.2%
2-07.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.53–4.33
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=171.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.6%23.2%–48.2% CI
Draw FT40.4%28.2%–53.9% CI
Away FT25.0%15.2%–38.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.7%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.4%
Away51.9%