Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-20 · 20:00
17.5612.3%
X4.3121.6%
21.4166.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santander
DDDLDLLLLW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Vallecano
DDDDDDDLWL
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.80
Against
2.80
8.60
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Santander attack

1.00goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.50
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.50goals per match
Santander conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
2.80
8.60
Match total
8.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.40
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.90N=10
Committed
18.00N=10
34.40
Match total
33.30

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
2.80
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.3%9.1%-3.2 pp
Draw21.6%27.3%+5.7 pp
Away66.1%63.6%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.545.5%
BTTS63.6%

Historical average

1.092.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-227.3%
0-227.3%
1-218.2%
2-39.1%
2-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.915.45
Average total9.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.59.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals81.8%
3+ goals45.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away100.0%