Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-20 · 20:00
17.5612.3%
X4.3121.6%
21.4166.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santander
DDDLDLLLLW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Vallecano
DDDDDDDLWL
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.80
Against
2.80
8.60
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santander attack
1.00goals per matchVallecano conceded1.50Matchup
Vallecano attack
1.50goals per matchSantander conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
2.80
8.60
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.40
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.90N=10
Committed
18.00N=10
34.40
Match total
33.30
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
2.80
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.3%9.1%-3.2 pp
Draw21.6%27.3%+5.7 pp
Away66.1%63.6%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.545.5%
BTTS63.6%
Historical average
1.09–2.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-227.3%
0-227.3%
1-218.2%
2-39.1%
2-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.91–5.45
Average total9.36
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.59.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Remaining goals
2.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals81.8%
3+ goals45.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away100.0%