Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-20 · 20:00
11.4763.3%
X3.9523.6%
27.1013.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lugo
LLWDWDLDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Mirandes
DDDLWWLLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
2.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.60
Against
4.70
9.80
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lugo attack
1.20goals per matchMirandes conceded2.00Matchup
Mirandes attack
1.60goals per matchLugo conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.70
9.80
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.10
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.00N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
30.30
Match total
29.00
Shots
10.10N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
2.90
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.3%67.6%+4.3 pp
Draw23.6%20.6%-3.0 pp
Away13.1%11.8%-1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.82–0.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-032.4%
3-28.8%
1-18.8%
2-25.9%
5-05.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.06–3.24
Average total9.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.523.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Remaining goals
0.92
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals8.3%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.0%
Away16.7%