Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-20 · 20:00
11.4763.3%
X3.9523.6%
27.1013.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lugo
LLWDWDLDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Mirandes
DDDLWWLLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
2.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.60
Against
4.70
9.80
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
3.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Lugo attack

1.20goals per match
Mirandes conceded2.00
Matchup

Mirandes attack

1.60goals per match
Lugo conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.70
9.80
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.10
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.00N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
30.30
Match total
29.00

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
2.90
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.3%67.6%+4.3 pp
Draw23.6%20.6%-3.0 pp
Away13.1%11.8%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.820.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-032.4%
3-28.8%
1-18.8%
2-25.9%
5-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.063.24
Average total9.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

0.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals8.3%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away16.7%