Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-17 · 20:00
11.6955.4%
X3.4826.9%
25.2817.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tenerife
WWWDWWDWDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Lugo
LLLWDWLLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.70
0.60
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.60
1.10
2H goals
1.10
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.80
Against
5.50
8.20
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
0.60
Goals conceded
1.00
2.10
Total goals
1.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tenerife attack
1.50goals per matchLugo conceded1.00Matchup
Lugo attack
0.70goals per matchTenerife conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.10
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.50
8.20
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.10
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.70N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
28.10
Match total
29.60
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
4.60
On target
2.00
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.4%33.3%-22.0 pp
Draw26.9%33.3%+6.4 pp
Away17.7%33.3%+15.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.517.6%
BTTS54.9%
Historical average
1.25–1.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.7%
2-113.7%
0-011.8%
0-111.8%
1-29.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.08–3.86
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Draw FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Away FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.7%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals17.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.2%
Away41.2%