Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-17 · 20:00
12.3739.5%
X2.8333.1%
23.4127.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Malaga
WDWWLLDWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Alcorcon
DDDWWWDWDL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Against
6.50
9.50
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.00
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.20goals per match
Alcorcon conceded1.10
Matchup

Alcorcon attack

1.50goals per match
Malaga conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
2.10N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.50
9.50
Match total
8.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.40
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

17.50N=10
Committed
21.00N=10
33.40
Match total
35.20

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.20
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.5%46.4%+6.9 pp
Draw33.1%26.8%-6.3 pp
Away27.4%26.8%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

1.341.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.1%
1-114.3%
1-010.7%
2-08.9%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.393.63
Average total9.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.4%
Over 9.537.5%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Draw FT61.1%38.6%–79.7% CI
Away FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.78

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals61.1%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away61.1%