Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-13 · 18:30
12.5336.8%
X2.7933.4%
23.1229.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Gijon
WLWWDWWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Malaga
DDDDLWDDDD
1W 8D 1L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.30
0.40
Conceded
0.40
20%
Over 2.5
0%
10%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.40
1H goals
0.20
1.20
2H goals
0.50
80%
Goal in 2H
40%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.10
Against
5.60
9.30
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.30
0.40
Goals conceded
0.40
1.60
Total goals
0.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Gijon attack
1.20goals per matchMalaga conceded0.40Matchup
Malaga attack
0.30goals per matchSp Gijon conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.00
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.60
9.30
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.10
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.60N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
30.20
Match total
29.40
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.10
On target
2.50
11%
Conversion
3%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.8%38.7%+1.9 pp
Draw33.4%32.3%-1.1 pp
Away29.8%29.0%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.551.6%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.59.7%
BTTS41.9%
Historical average
1.03–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-022.6%
1-116.1%
0-112.9%
0-012.9%
1-29.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.97–3.81
Average total8.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.541.9%
Over 9.532.3%
Over 10.522.6%
Over 11.516.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Remaining goals
0.92
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals15.4%
3+ goals7.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.8%
Away30.8%