Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-12 · 18:30
12.3839.1%
X2.8732.4%
23.2628.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Numancia
DWLWDDLLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Ponferradina
WLLDLLDWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.00
Against
4.40
9.70
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
1.70
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Numancia attack

1.00goals per match
Ponferradina conceded1.60
Matchup

Ponferradina attack

0.80goals per match
Numancia conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.40
9.70
Match total
8.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.50
Match total
5.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
17.40N=10
31.30
Match total
32.70

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.20
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%41.6%+2.5 pp
Draw32.4%31.5%-0.9 pp
Away28.5%27.0%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.516.9%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

1.201.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
1-013.5%
2-112.4%
0-010.1%
0-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.463.94
Average total9.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.542.7%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.523.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%21.5%–52.1% CI
Draw FT44.1%28.9%–60.5% CI
Away FT20.6%10.3%–36.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals26.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.8%
Away52.9%