Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-09 · 20:45
12.3040.5%
X3.0130.9%
23.2628.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Girona
WLWDWWDDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Almeria
WDWWDLLWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
2.00
0.70
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.20
Against
5.40
8.80
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Girona attack
1.40goals per matchAlmeria conceded1.20Matchup
Almeria attack
2.00goals per matchGirona conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.40
8.80
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.20
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.10N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
35.70
Match total
30.20
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.50
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches140
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.5%36.4%-4.1 pp
Draw30.9%32.1%+1.2 pp
Away28.6%31.4%+2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.516.4%
BTTS47.1%
Historical average
1.11–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.0%
1-013.6%
0-112.1%
0-011.4%
2-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.25–4.05
Average total9.30
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=140.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.541.4%
Over 10.534.3%
Over 11.526.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.5%20.7%–44.7% CI
Draw FT38.9%27.0%–52.2% CI
Away FT29.6%19.1%–42.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals27.8%
3+ goals18.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.3%
Away40.7%