Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-09 · 19:30
11.9448.1%
X3.2328.9%
24.0523.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Vallecano
WWDDWLWWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Numancia
WDLLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
2.00
10%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.90
Against
5.80
7.60
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
2.00
1.70
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.10goals per match
Numancia conceded2.00
Matchup

Numancia attack

1.00goals per match
Vallecano conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
2.90
Corners against
5.80
7.60
Match total
8.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
6.40
Match total
5.10
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

18.50N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
34.80
Match total
30.80

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.60
On target
3.10
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches142
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.1%45.8%-2.3 pp
Draw28.9%26.1%-2.8 pp
Away23.0%28.2%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS57.0%

Historical average

1.511.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
2-111.3%
1-011.3%
1-29.9%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.734.22
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=142.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.9%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%31.7%–59.9% CI
Draw FT29.5%18.2%–44.2% CI
Away FT25.0%14.6%–39.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals15.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.1%
Away38.6%