Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-09 · 19:30
11.9448.1%
X3.2328.9%
24.0523.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vallecano
WWDDWLWWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Numancia
WDLLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
2.00
10%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.90
Against
5.80
7.60
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
2.00
1.70
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vallecano attack
1.10goals per matchNumancia conceded2.00Matchup
Numancia attack
1.00goals per matchVallecano conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
2.90
Corners against
5.80
7.60
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
6.40
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.50N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
34.80
Match total
30.80
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.60
On target
3.10
9%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches142
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.1%45.8%-2.3 pp
Draw28.9%26.1%-2.8 pp
Away23.0%28.2%+5.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS57.0%
Historical average
1.51–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.7%
2-111.3%
1-011.3%
1-29.9%
0-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.73–4.22
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=142.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.9%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.531.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%31.7%–59.9% CI
Draw FT29.5%18.2%–44.2% CI
Away FT25.0%14.6%–39.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals15.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.1%
Away38.6%