Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 20:45
12.2042.4%
X2.9132.1%
23.6525.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ponferradina
DWDDWDWWDL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Lugo
DLLLWDWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.70
0.90
2H goals
1.10
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
2.80
Against
5.30
7.10
Total
8.70
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
1.90
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ponferradina attack
1.10goals per matchLugo conceded1.10Matchup
Lugo attack
0.70goals per matchPonferradina conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.30
7.10
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.40
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.80N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
34.90
Match total
29.20
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.10
On target
2.40
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.4%38.4%-4.0 pp
Draw32.1%41.1%+9.0 pp
Away25.6%20.5%-5.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.519.2%
BTTS54.8%
Historical average
1.33–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.2%
0-015.1%
2-18.2%
1-28.2%
2-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.99–4.12
Average total9.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.549.3%
Over 9.542.5%
Over 10.531.5%
Over 11.524.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.3%5.3%–29.7% CI
Draw FT70.0%52.1%–83.3% CI
Away FT16.7%7.3%–33.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.3%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals23.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away50.0%