Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-06 · 20:45
12.4238.5%
X3.0930.1%
22.9631.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Zaragoza
LDWWWDWLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Vallecano
LWDDDDDDDL
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
2.90
Against
2.80
8.00
Total
7.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Zaragoza attack
1.20goals per matchVallecano conceded1.20Matchup
Vallecano attack
1.20goals per matchZaragoza conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
2.90
Corners against
2.80
8.00
Match total
7.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.30
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
17.10N=10
26.80
Match total
32.50
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.50
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.5%41.7%+3.3 pp
Draw30.1%30.4%+0.3 pp
Away31.4%27.8%-3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS51.3%
Historical average
1.24–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.5%
1-113.9%
2-112.2%
0-010.4%
0-26.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.30–4.86
Average total10.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=115.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.546.1%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.7%17.5%–45.8% CI
Draw FT51.4%35.9%–66.6% CI
Away FT18.9%9.5%–34.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.6%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals18.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.1%
Away45.9%