Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 20:45
12.0844.8%
X3.0131.0%
23.8424.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alcorcon
LLDDWLDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Lugo
LDLLLWDWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
1.70
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.70
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.30
Against
5.70
8.60
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
1.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Alcorcon attack

1.20goals per match
Lugo conceded1.20
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.60goals per match
Alcorcon conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.70
8.60
Match total
9.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.60
Match total
5.10
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.10N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
33.40
Match total
29.50

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
3.80
On target
2.70
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches79
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.8%39.2%-5.5 pp
Draw31.0%36.7%+5.8 pp
Away24.3%24.1%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.515.2%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.290.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.8%
2-010.1%
0-110.1%
2-110.1%
1-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.763.99
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=79.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.534.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Draw FT50.0%32.6%–67.4% CI
Away FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.7%
Away60.7%