Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 20:45
12.0844.8%
X3.0131.0%
23.8424.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Alcorcon
LLDDWLDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Lugo
LDLLLWDWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.60
1.70
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.70
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.30
Against
5.70
8.60
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Alcorcon attack
1.20goals per matchLugo conceded1.20Matchup
Lugo attack
0.60goals per matchAlcorcon conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.70
8.60
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.60
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.10N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
33.40
Match total
29.50
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
3.80
On target
2.70
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches79
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.8%39.2%-5.5 pp
Draw31.0%36.7%+5.8 pp
Away24.3%24.1%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.515.2%
BTTS55.7%
Historical average
1.29–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-122.8%
2-010.1%
0-110.1%
2-110.1%
1-08.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.76–3.99
Average total9.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=79.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.534.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Draw FT50.0%32.6%–67.4% CI
Away FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals17.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.7%
Away60.7%