Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 18:30
12.3639.5%
X2.8932.3%
23.3028.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Malaga
WDWDWWLLDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Albacete
WDLLLDDLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.50
Against
4.00
8.70
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Malaga attack
1.40goals per matchAlbacete conceded1.30Matchup
Albacete attack
1.00goals per matchMalaga conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.00
8.70
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.40
Match total
6.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.60N=10
Committed
19.20N=10
32.40
Match total
36.30
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.20
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.5%45.3%+5.9 pp
Draw32.3%27.9%-4.3 pp
Away28.2%26.7%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.515.1%
BTTS53.5%
Historical average
1.27–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-118.6%
0-011.6%
1-111.6%
1-010.5%
1-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.60–3.72
Average total9.33
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.543.0%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.524.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%19.2%–51.2% CI
Draw FT53.3%36.1%–69.8% CI
Away FT13.3%5.3%–29.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.7%
Away46.7%