Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 16:00
12.4438.2%
X2.9231.9%
23.1229.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Numancia
DDWLWDDLLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Extremadura UD
LDWLDDDDDD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.30
Against
5.30
9.80
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Numancia attack
1.10goals per matchExtremadura UD conceded1.30Matchup
Extremadura UD attack
0.90goals per matchNumancia conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.30
9.80
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.00
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.70N=10
Committed
17.90N=10
30.60
Match total
32.60
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.30
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches63
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.2%41.3%+3.1 pp
Draw31.9%25.4%-6.5 pp
Away29.9%33.3%+3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.515.9%
BTTS55.6%
Historical average
1.19–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.0%
2-117.5%
1-014.3%
0-19.5%
2-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.27–3.86
Average total9.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.7%
Over 9.536.5%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.525.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.83
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals27.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away61.1%