Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 18:30
12.6834.8%
X2.9032.1%
22.8233.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lugo
DDLLWDWDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Numancia
LWDLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.40
Against
5.80
10.10
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
2.00
2.10
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.80goals per match
Numancia conceded2.00
Matchup

Numancia attack

1.00goals per match
Lugo conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.80
10.10
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.00
Match total
5.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
29.00
Match total
30.80

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
2.60
On target
3.10
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches80
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.8%35.0%+0.2 pp
Draw32.1%40.0%+7.9 pp
Away33.1%25.0%-8.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.531.3%
Over 3.516.3%
BTTS52.5%

Historical average

1.160.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-123.8%
1-015.0%
0-012.5%
1-210.0%
2-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.58
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=80.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.521.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%23.4%–52.7% CI
Draw FT47.4%32.5%–62.7% CI
Away FT15.8%7.4%–30.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals34.2%
3+ goals7.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.2%
Away39.5%