Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-06-29 · 18:30
12.9331.8%
X2.8732.4%
22.6035.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alcorcon
WLLDDWLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Vallecano
DLWDDDDDDD
1W 8D 1L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.00
Against
3.20
8.70
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.50
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Alcorcon attack

1.00goals per match
Vallecano conceded1.10
Matchup

Vallecano attack

1.20goals per match
Alcorcon conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.20
8.70
Match total
7.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.30
Match total
5.20
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.80N=10
Committed
17.10N=10
32.60
Match total
31.60

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.10
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.8%35.1%+3.4 pp
Draw32.4%32.4%+0.0 pp
Away35.8%32.4%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.513.5%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.161.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.2%
1-116.2%
2-013.5%
1-013.5%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.734.57
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.4%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.529.7%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.3%
Away42.9%