Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-06-28 · 18:30
12.9431.7%
X2.8432.8%
22.6335.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Malaga
DWDWDWWLLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Girona
DDLLLWDDDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.90
Against
3.90
9.60
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.50goals per match
Girona conceded1.20
Matchup

Girona attack

0.80goals per match
Malaga conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.90
9.60
Match total
7.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.60
Match total
5.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
30.70
Match total
30.30

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.70
On target
4.80
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.7%32.4%+0.6 pp
Draw32.8%32.4%-0.5 pp
Away35.5%35.3%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.517.6%
BTTS55.9%

Historical average

1.211.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-220.6%
1-011.8%
1-111.8%
0-08.8%
0-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.384.91
Average total9.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.520.6%
Over 11.517.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away38.5%