Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-06-24 · 20:45
11.8849.6%
X3.0830.3%
24.6420.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ponferradina
WDDWDDWDWW
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Santander
DLLDLLWLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.50
0.50
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.80
0.90
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.80
Against
5.40
7.20
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
0.50
Goals conceded
1.10
1.70
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ponferradina attack
1.20goals per matchSantander conceded1.10Matchup
Santander attack
0.50goals per matchPonferradina conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.40
7.20
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.40
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.40N=10
Committed
17.00N=10
33.90
Match total
34.00
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.60
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.6%54.3%+4.7 pp
Draw30.3%37.1%+6.9 pp
Away20.1%8.6%-11.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.537.1%
BTTS48.6%
Historical average
1.86–0.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.3%
0-014.3%
2-28.6%
1-18.6%
2-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.66–3.54
Average total9.20
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.3%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.531.4%
Over 11.522.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals21.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away42.9%