Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-06-23 · 18:30
13.1729.6%
X2.8233.2%
22.5237.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lugo
WDDLLWDWDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Malaga
LLDDDDLWDD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.30
1.30
Conceded
0.60
40%
Over 2.5
0%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.30
1.40
2H goals
0.60
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.40
Against
5.40
10.30
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.30
1.30
Goals conceded
0.60
2.20
Total goals
0.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.90goals per match
Malaga conceded0.60
Matchup

Malaga attack

0.30goals per match
Lugo conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.40
10.30
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.70
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
29.30
Match total
29.10

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
2.70
On target
2.10
9%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.6%38.9%+9.3 pp
Draw33.2%22.2%-11.0 pp
Away37.2%38.9%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.550.0%
Over 2.522.2%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS27.8%

Historical average

0.891.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-022.2%
0-122.2%
2-211.1%
2-011.1%
0-211.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.394.50
Average total8.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.533.3%
Over 10.527.8%
Over 11.511.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away40.0%