Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-06-21 · 16:00
12.4737.7%
X2.8832.3%
23.1129.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mirandes
WWDWDDDDDW
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Ponferradina
DLLWLLDLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.70
0.50
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.80
0.80
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.40
Against
4.20
9.30
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.70
0.50
Goals conceded
1.50
1.60
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mirandes attack
1.10goals per matchPonferradina conceded1.50Matchup
Ponferradina attack
0.70goals per matchMirandes conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.20
9.30
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.40
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.60N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
31.30
Match total
32.30
Shots
9.70N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.80
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.7%40.5%+2.8 pp
Draw32.3%31.0%-1.4 pp
Away29.9%28.6%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.514.3%
BTTS52.4%
Historical average
1.14–1.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.0%
2-116.7%
1-011.9%
0-19.5%
0-07.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.60–3.88
Average total9.48
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.540.5%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away60.0%