Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 18:30
11.9348.3%
X3.1629.5%
24.2122.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Las Palmas
LDWWDLDLDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Lugo
WLLDLLLWDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.50
Against
6.40
9.80
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Las Palmas attack

1.10goals per match
Lugo conceded1.10
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.80goals per match
Las Palmas conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.40
9.80
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.90
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
29.50
Match total
30.90

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
4.60
On target
2.70
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches72
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.3%41.7%-6.7 pp
Draw29.5%37.5%+8.0 pp
Away22.2%20.8%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.491.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-013.9%
1-112.5%
3-19.7%
1-08.3%
2-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.503.82
Average total9.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=72.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.1%17.9%–50.7% CI
Draw FT46.4%29.5%–64.2% CI
Away FT21.4%10.2%–39.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away46.4%