Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-06-16 · 18:30
13.9823.4%
X3.1629.5%
21.9847.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lugo
WWDDLLWDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Zaragoza
DWWLWDWDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
6.10
Against
5.20
10.20
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.30
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lugo attack

1.10goals per match
Zaragoza conceded0.90
Matchup

Zaragoza attack

1.40goals per match
Lugo conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.20
10.20
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.60
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.00N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
30.10
Match total
28.90

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
2.90
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.4%15.4%-8.0 pp
Draw29.5%23.1%-6.4 pp
Away47.1%61.5%+14.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.515.4%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

1.081.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-230.8%
0-115.4%
1-115.4%
2-37.7%
2-47.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.235.31
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.538.5%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away60.0%