Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-06-16 · 18:30
13.9823.4%
X3.1629.5%
21.9847.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lugo
WWDDLLWDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Zaragoza
DWWLWDWDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
6.10
Against
5.20
10.20
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.30
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lugo attack
1.10goals per matchZaragoza conceded0.90Matchup
Zaragoza attack
1.40goals per matchLugo conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.20
10.20
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.60
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.00N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
30.10
Match total
28.90
Shots
9.60N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
2.90
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.4%15.4%-8.0 pp
Draw29.5%23.1%-6.4 pp
Away47.1%61.5%+14.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.515.4%
BTTS61.5%
Historical average
1.08–1.46
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-230.8%
0-115.4%
1-115.4%
2-37.7%
2-47.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.23–5.31
Average total9.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.538.5%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.523.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.80
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.0%
Away60.0%