Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-06-13 · 16:00
12.2242.0%
X2.9831.3%
23.4926.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santander
LDDWDDDDLD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM
Lugo
LWLLDLLLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.20
Against
6.90
8.70
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Santander attack

1.30goals per match
Lugo conceded1.30
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.70goals per match
Santander conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.90
8.70
Match total
9.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.60
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
33.20
Match total
29.90

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
2.90
On target
2.50
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.0%50.0%+8.0 pp
Draw31.3%36.8%+5.6 pp
Away26.7%13.2%-13.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

1.550.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
2-013.2%
0-013.2%
3-010.5%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.084.68
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals35.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away42.9%