Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 17:15
12.1343.8%
X2.9931.2%
23.7425.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alcorcon
DWWLLDDWLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Mirandes
LWLWLWDDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
2.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.30
Against
6.60
9.00
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
2.10
2.50
Total goals
4.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Alcorcon attack

1.20goals per match
Mirandes conceded2.10
Matchup

Mirandes attack

1.90goals per match
Alcorcon conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.60
9.00
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.20
Match total
4.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

17.90N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
33.30
Match total
28.80

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.90
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches99
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%41.4%-2.4 pp
Draw31.2%39.4%+8.2 pp
Away25.0%19.2%-5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.511.1%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

1.210.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-121.2%
0-013.1%
1-011.1%
2-011.1%
0-110.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.803.97
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=99.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.535.4%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.2%18.6%–45.1% CI
Draw FT53.5%38.9%–67.5% CI
Away FT16.3%8.1%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.8%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.8%
Away46.5%