Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 11:00
12.0246.3%
X3.1529.7%
23.8824.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vallecano
DWLDLWWDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Elche
WLWDDWLWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.00N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.90
Against
5.60
10.90
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vallecano attack
1.10goals per matchElche conceded1.00Matchup
Elche attack
1.30goals per matchVallecano conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.60
10.90
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.50N=10
For
3.60N=10
6.80
Match total
6.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
19.10N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
34.90
Match total
31.10
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.3%46.6%+0.3 pp
Draw29.7%26.0%-3.6 pp
Away24.1%27.4%+3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.516.4%
BTTS43.8%
Historical average
1.25–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.8%
1-113.7%
0-111.0%
2-09.6%
0-09.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.05–4.19
Average total10.25
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.532.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%28.8%–64.5% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT19.2%8.5%–37.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.08
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals26.9%
3+ goals7.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.8%
Away34.6%