Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 17:15
11.7254.3%
X3.3328.0%
25.2817.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Numancia
LWWDDWLWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Santander
DLDLLDLLWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
0.80
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.00
Against
4.90
9.80
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Numancia attack
1.20goals per matchSantander conceded1.40Matchup
Santander attack
0.60goals per matchNumancia conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.90
9.80
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.70
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.20N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
28.20
Match total
32.50
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.80
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.3%40.4%-13.9 pp
Draw28.0%32.7%+4.7 pp
Away17.7%26.9%+9.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS57.7%
Historical average
1.46–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-013.5%
1-113.5%
0-111.5%
2-111.5%
2-09.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.46–3.63
Average total9.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.538.5%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.526.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Draw FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Away FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.15
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home35.0%
Away50.0%