Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 17:15
11.7254.3%
X3.3328.0%
25.2817.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Numancia
LWWDDWLWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Santander
DLDLLDLLWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
0.80
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.00
Against
4.90
9.80
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Numancia attack

1.20goals per match
Santander conceded1.40
Matchup

Santander attack

0.60goals per match
Numancia conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.90
9.80
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.70
Match total
5.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
28.20
Match total
32.50

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.80
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.3%40.4%-13.9 pp
Draw28.0%32.7%+4.7 pp
Away17.7%26.9%+9.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS57.7%

Historical average

1.461.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-013.5%
1-113.5%
0-111.5%
2-111.5%
2-09.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.463.63
Average total9.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.538.5%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Draw FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Away FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.0%
Away50.0%