Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-03-01 · 15:00
11.6556.4%
X3.4527.0%
25.6216.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

La Coruna
DLLDLWWWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Lugo
DLWLLDLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.70
Against
7.00
9.00
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

La Coruna attack

1.10goals per match
Lugo conceded1.30
Matchup

Lugo attack

0.70goals per match
La Coruna conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.70
Corners against
7.00
9.00
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.90
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
32.30
Match total
30.90

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.00
On target
2.70
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.4%29.2%-27.3 pp
Draw27.0%29.2%+2.2 pp
Away16.6%41.7%+25.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.529.2%
Over 3.512.5%
BTTS41.7%

Historical average

0.881.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-120.8%
1-120.8%
2-012.5%
0-08.3%
1-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.792.88
Average total8.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.533.3%
Over 10.520.8%
Over 11.520.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI

Remaining goals

0.93

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals21.4%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away42.9%