Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-03-01 · 15:00
12.1543.3%
X2.9731.3%
23.6725.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
DLWDWLDDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Numancia
DDWLLWDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.80
Against
5.90
9.50
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.50goals per match
Numancia conceded1.60
Matchup

Numancia attack

1.20goals per match
Elche conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.90
9.50
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.00
Match total
6.00
100%10/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
31.70
Match total
31.90

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.30
On target
3.30
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches95
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%38.9%-4.3 pp
Draw31.3%38.9%+7.6 pp
Away25.4%22.1%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.511.6%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.150.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.9%
0-014.7%
2-112.6%
0-110.5%
1-010.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.524.14
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=95.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.6%14.6%–41.1% CI
Draw FT53.8%38.6%–68.4% CI
Away FT20.5%10.8%–35.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.1%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away43.6%