Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-03-01 · 15:00
12.1543.3%
X2.9731.3%
23.6725.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Elche
DLWDWLDDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Numancia
DDWLLWDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.80
Against
5.90
9.50
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Elche attack
1.50goals per matchNumancia conceded1.60Matchup
Numancia attack
1.20goals per matchElche conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.90
9.50
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.00
Match total
6.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.60N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
31.70
Match total
31.90
Shots
9.70N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.30
On target
3.30
15%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches95
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%38.9%-4.3 pp
Draw31.3%38.9%+7.6 pp
Away25.4%22.1%-3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.511.6%
BTTS49.5%
Historical average
1.15–0.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.9%
0-014.7%
2-112.6%
0-110.5%
1-010.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.52–4.14
Average total9.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=95.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.528.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.6%14.6%–41.1% CI
Draw FT53.8%38.6%–68.4% CI
Away FT20.5%10.8%–35.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.08
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.1%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals10.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.2%
Away43.6%