Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 19:30
12.6535.2%
X2.8732.5%
22.8832.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Albacete
LWLLDLDLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Vallecano
DWLDLWDDDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.80
Against
3.30
11.60
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
1.90
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Albacete attack
0.80goals per matchVallecano conceded0.80Matchup
Vallecano attack
1.10goals per matchAlbacete conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
3.30
11.60
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.80
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.00N=10
Committed
17.30N=10
31.00
Match total
31.70
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.70
On target
4.20
6%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches60
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.2%40.0%+4.8 pp
Draw32.5%31.7%-0.8 pp
Away32.4%28.3%-4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.528.3%
Over 3.511.7%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.13–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-121.7%
1-018.3%
1-211.7%
2-010.0%
0-010.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.87–4.65
Average total9.52
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=60.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.518.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.3%27.4%–60.8% CI
Draw FT40.0%24.6%–57.7% CI
Away FT16.7%7.3%–33.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away40.0%