Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-28 · 20:00
12.4238.7%
X2.8233.2%
23.3428.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Las Palmas
WWLDWWDLDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Malaga
LWLLDDDDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.40
1.20
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
0%
70%
BTTS
10%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.60
1.30
2H goals
0.50
70%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.90
Against
5.20
10.50
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.40
1.20
Goals conceded
0.70
2.80
Total goals
1.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Las Palmas attack
1.60goals per matchMalaga conceded0.70Matchup
Malaga attack
0.40goals per matchLas Palmas conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.20
10.50
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.00
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.20N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
30.10
Match total
30.70
Shots
15.20N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.90
On target
2.50
11%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%25.0%-13.7 pp
Draw33.2%41.7%+8.4 pp
Away28.1%33.3%+5.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.512.5%
BTTS54.2%
Historical average
1.00–1.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-129.2%
0-116.7%
2-112.5%
0-212.5%
2-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.96–4.29
Average total10.25
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.537.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.64
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals28.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.4%
Away57.1%