Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 17:15
11.7952.1%
X3.1829.3%
25.0418.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Malaga
DLWDDWDWDW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Santander
DDLDLLDLLW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
2.60
Against
4.90
9.00
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Malaga attack

1.40goals per match
Santander conceded1.30
Matchup

Santander attack

0.70goals per match
Malaga conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
2.60
Corners against
4.90
9.00
Match total
9.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.60
Match total
5.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.00N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
31.40
Match total
30.90

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.70
On target
3.80
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.1%66.7%+14.5 pp
Draw29.3%5.6%-23.8 pp
Away18.5%27.8%+9.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.550.0%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

1.611.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-033.3%
0-116.7%
1-211.1%
4-35.6%
2-25.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.674.00
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.583.3%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.511.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Draw FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Away FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals18.8%
3+ goals6.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.8%
Away43.8%