Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 11:00
13.0131.0%
X2.9132.1%
22.5336.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lugo
LLWWDDLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Oviedo
WWLLLWDLDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.10
Against
6.70
10.50
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Lugo attack

1.00goals per match
Oviedo conceded1.50
Matchup

Oviedo attack

1.20goals per match
Lugo conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.70
10.50
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.70
Match total
6.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
30.70
Match total
31.60

Shots

9.10N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.00
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%38.1%+7.1 pp
Draw32.1%28.6%-3.5 pp
Away36.9%33.3%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.59.5%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

1.101.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.3%
0-014.3%
0-29.5%
1-09.5%
2-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.244.33
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away40.0%