Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 20:00
12.8432.9%
X2.9431.8%
22.6435.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Elche
WDLWDWLDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Zaragoza
DWLLDWWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.60
Against
4.60
10.10
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Elche attack
1.50goals per matchZaragoza conceded1.30Matchup
Zaragoza attack
1.20goals per matchElche conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.60
10.10
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.30
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.00N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
33.30
Match total
28.80
Shots
10.10N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.30
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.9%31.6%-1.3 pp
Draw31.8%42.1%+10.3 pp
Away35.4%26.3%-9.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.513.2%
BTTS52.6%
Historical average
1.13–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-121.1%
2-113.2%
0-013.2%
1-07.9%
1-27.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.74–4.37
Average total9.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.3%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.526.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away53.3%