Segunda Division · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 20:00
12.8432.9%
X2.9431.8%
22.6435.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elche
WDLWDWLDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Zaragoza
DWLLDWWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.60
Against
4.60
10.10
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Elche attack

1.50goals per match
Zaragoza conceded1.30
Matchup

Zaragoza attack

1.20goals per match
Elche conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.60
10.10
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.30
Match total
5.00
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.00N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
33.30
Match total
28.80

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.30
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.9%31.6%-1.3 pp
Draw31.8%42.1%+10.3 pp
Away35.4%26.3%-9.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.513.2%
BTTS52.6%

Historical average

1.131.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-121.1%
2-113.2%
0-013.2%
1-07.9%
1-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.744.37
Average total9.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.3%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away53.3%